New York Jets’ Robert Saleh still believes in “formula” despite bad start – New York Jets Blog
FLORHAM PARK, NJ – A look at what’s going on around the New York Jets:
1. The story on their side: It looks grim at 2-7, with too many blowout losses, but decision-makers at One Jets Drive are adhering to a three-year rebuilding plan that was drawn up in January 2020 by general manager Joe Douglas. You can’t see any tangible results yet (4-21 according to said plan), but they believe it works and will open a window of 2023-2028 that will allow them to compete with the big guys.
The heartbreaking, go-young approach invites punches, especially in an impatient market like New York City, but there is league-wide data that supports the philosophy.
The Jets are on their way to hit 9,000 combined snaps for rookies, freshmen, and sophomores – a plateau hit by just a handful of teams each year. It is serious youth. Of the 19 teams that reached 9,000 snaps from 2017 to 2019, 13 saw their wins increase the following year, most notably the 2017-18 Cleveland Browns (+7). The average increase was 3.8 wins. Eight of 19 made the playoffs the following year.
This is your empirical hope.
The Jets play more rookies than any team in recent years, according to the data. This puts pressure on the head coach. With the exception of one glaring exception – the pick of Joe Flacco over Mike White as quarterback – Robert Saleh has stuck to the methodical game plan.
“That’s the formula,” Saleh told ESPN. “You inject youth into your team, you step onto the football field, you let them go through all their issues and you let them gain their experience. Eventually, they’ll start to kick in and all that explosive ability will unleash.”
What about the sense of urgency?
“This emergency has led to many decisions that put this organization in the situation it was in before Joe’s arrival,” said Saleh, alluding to the previous decade of questionable movements.
When it started in January 2020, the team’s management saw an alarming list of local talent. Two drafts and two cycles of free agency later, the organization believes it has finally come back to zero. It is still early days, but 2021 looks like a “base project”. (Words of Saleh.) Douglas has to crush the 2022 draft (nine picks), and then maybe they can take the proverbial turn.
Saleh’s honeymoon is waning, with fan agitation growing, but he seems unfazed. He has known the pain of rebuilding in his previous four saves – two failures (Jacksonville Jaguars, Houston Texans) and two wins (Seattle Seahawks, San Francisco 49ers).
“The same thing happened in Seattle,” he said. “We were playing with a bunch of nobodies and it became the Legion of Boom. I’m not saying it’s going to happen here, but it’s the best chance you have of building a champion rather than playing the game of l ‘free agency and try to buy a listing. “
2. Zach back? From what I understand, there’s a very good chance that quarterback Zach Wilson could come back next Sunday against the Texans. Taking a conservative approach, the Jets want to make sure he’s 100% – a smart move. They would have been more aggressive with a seasoned pro, but they don’t want to push a 21-year-old rookie who was struggling before the injury.
3. Cup of Joe: Even if he starts on Sunday, Flacco is unlikely to reach the playing time threshold set in the parameters of his trade with the Philadelphia Eagles, who received a conditional sixth-round selection in 2022 from the Jets. He would have to play in at least 50% of the snaps in four different matches to elevate the pick in the fifth round, a source confirmed. Basically he is expected to start four of the remaining eight games – unlikely.
4. Bleaching: Understandably, White was stung by his surprise bench, but he’s definitely a part of the Jets’ immediate future. They plan to offer him as a restricted free agent, an estimated $ 2.4 million for the low bid or $ 3.9 million for the second round tender, per Over The. Cap. They expect White to generate interest from other teams, which will play a role in their strategy.
5. Did you know? The Jets have allowed 175 points in the last four games. The famous Baltimore Ravens in 2000 allowed 165 in 16 games.
6. Load management: Some might wonder why defensive tackle Quinnen Williams isn’t on the pitch more often. After all, he’s their best defensive player. The reason is that they are rotating the defensive line which limited it to 61% of snaps. A year ago, he was at 75% of the 13 games he played.
Defensive coordinator Jeff Ulbrich said their plan of attack is so physically demanding that it’s unrealistic to expect a lineman to play 60 snaps a game – and play well. They believe in the system and they are not going to fold.
Statistically, Williams is producing at a slightly higher rate than last year in the major categories, which suggests the system is working. You are just wondering if there is more out there for him. You also wonder what the impact will be on the talks at the bargaining table; Williams is eligible for a new contract after the season. Better numbers mean a bigger contract. He’s 22nd in defensive shots among inside linemen, according to ESPN Stats & Information.
7. MC hammer: At 5-foot-8 and 201 pounds, Michael Carter isn’t what you might call a bruise, but he’s tough to take down due to his toughness and exceptional balance. The rookie is averaging 1.82 yards per carry after first contact, which is pretty good for one of the smaller running backs in the league.
“His balance is pretty amazing,” said offensive coordinator Mike LaFleur. “He doesn’t fall on first contact and it’s not because he’s Jerome Bettis, with people bouncing off him. He’s just a slippery dude with good contact balance and will and desire. “
Carter is good between tackles, but now it’s time to break a long run. Its longest gain is only 18 meters.
8. Unlucky 13: It may not seem like a big deal in the big project, but it is a sign of neglect. The Jets are tied with the Arizona Cardinals for most special team penalties – 13, according to ESPN Stats & Information. Arizona can get away with it because they have a good team. The Jets, not so much.
9. Where are the leaders? Former Jets star John Abraham, sixth on the team’s all-time sack list (53.5), follows his former team on TV. As a former defensive player, it pains him to see what the defense has become.
“I think they’re missing a big name pass runner, and it also looks like the team is never coordinated together,” Abraham said on this week’s ESPN “Flight Deck” podcast. “I don’t know if they have that leader. When Jamal (Adams) was there, you could see that leadership in him.”
Abraham acknowledged that there might be behind-the-scenes leadership that no one sees, but “the leadership on the ground is not there.”
10. The last word: “Sometimes I’m like, ‘Is that the same Joe Flacco from the Super Bowl?’ It’s Joe. It used to be Joe Flacco. Now it’s Joe. – Carter, who was 13 when Flacco won a Super Bowl with the Ravens in February 2013